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Bundesliga

Referee: Sören Storks

Wolfsburg

T U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Mainz

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,62 xG 1,95

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 4. · Mainz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.9	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
3	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
5	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-5.0	3
6	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
10	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.0	3
11	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
13	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.7	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
15	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.7	1
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
17	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
18	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
5	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
7	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.7	0
10	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
14	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
15	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.7	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
11	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
12	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
13	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
15	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.