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Süper Lig
Referee: K Saglam
Alanyaspor
U S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 2,31
37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 +12 +8.6 12
2 Trabzonspor 3 3 0 0 +3 +2.3 9
3 Goztep 4 2 2 0 +5 +0.6 8
4 Konyaspor 3 2 1 0 +6 -0.1 7
5 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +4 +3.2 7
6 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
7 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 -1.3 6
8 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 -4 -2.7 6
9 Eyüpspor 4 1 1 2 -3 -2.6 4
10 Karagumruk 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.2 3
11 Buyuksehyr 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.6 2
12 Kayserispor 3 0 2 1 -4 -3.8 2
13 Alanyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.0 1
14 Kocaelispor 4 0 1 3 -4 -0.8 1
15 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -5 +0.6 1
16 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -3 -0.8 0
17 Genclerbirligi 4 0 0 4 -5 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Besiktas
E. Keskin 🔁
↦ F. Hadergjonaj
29′
36′
🟨 Jonas Svensson
1–0 I. Kaya
45′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Tiago Djaló
58′
🔁 E. B. Toure
↦ E. Muci
I. Celik 🔁
↦ G. Makouta
67′
G. Yalcin 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
68′
72′
🟨 Felix Uduokhai
75′
🔁 D. E. Tiknaz
↦ K. Kayra Yilmaz
75′
🔁 Joao Mario
↦ O. Kokcu
2–0 G. Yalcin
Y. Ozdemir
76′
F. Aksoy 🔁
↦ Y. Ozdemir
88′
E. Karaca 🔁
↦ U. Ogundu
88′
Fatih Aksoy 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
1 E. Taskiran G
3 N. Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
50 U. Akdag D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
42 G. Makouta M
58 Maestro M
88 Y. Ozdemir M
27 I. Kaya F
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
22 U. Ogundu F
Bench (10)
48 Paulo Victor
4 B. Ozyurt
20 F. Aksoy
30 Bruno Viana
8 E. Keskin
17 N. Janvier
6 I. Celik
10 G. Yalcin
7 E. Karaca
15 A. Usluoglu

Coach: Joao Pereira

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 M. Gunok G
2 J. Svensson D
35 T. Djalo D
14 F. Uduokhai D
39 D. Jurasek D
4 W. Ndidi M
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz M
27 Rafa Silva M
10 O. Kokcu M
23 E. Muci M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (10)
30 E. Destanoglu
5 D. E. Tiknaz
8 S. Ucan
18 Joao Mario
19 E. B. Toure
20 N. Uysal
22 T. Bulut
24 T. T. Sanuc
40 E. Uzunhan
53 E. Topcu

Coach: Sergen Yalcin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,21
U
3,56
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Saglam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.