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Conference League
Referee: Marian Alexandru Barbu
Jagiellonia
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Dinamo Tirana
S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Dinamo Tirana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
83%
75%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.