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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Bartosz Frankowski

Pogon Szczecin

S U T T S

2–0

Full-time

Rakow

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

83%

75%

Both score Ø 79%

83%

75%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 14

3 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 13. · Rakow 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.2	12
3	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+3	-2.5	12
4	Cracovia	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.5	11
5	Korona Kielce	7	3	2	2	+3	-2.1	11
6	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+0	+3.4	10
7	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.1	8
8	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.2	8
9	Motor Lublin	6	2	2	2	-3	-1.0	8
10	Arka Gdynia	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.8	8
11	Legia	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.6	7
12	Widzew Lodz	7	2	1	4	+0	+2.2	7
13	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-4	+2.0	7
14	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-5	-5.4	7
15	Zaglebie	6	1	3	2	+2	+0.7	6
16	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	2	4	-7	-4.3	5
18	Piast Gliwice	5	0	3	2	-3	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
4	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
5	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
6	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.6	7
7	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
8	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	-1	+1.7	7
9	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.0	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
11	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
12	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
13	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
15	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
16	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
17	Nieciecza	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.5	7
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.8	6
4	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
5	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
6	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
7	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-4	+1.6	4
8	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.9	4
9	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
11	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.8	2
13	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
14	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
15	Arka Gdynia	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.2	1
17	Widzew Lodz	3	0	0	3	-3	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.