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Superligaen

Referee: Morten Krogh

Brondby

S S U T T

1–3

Full-time

Midtjylland

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,7

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,65 xG 2,44

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 4. · Midtjylland 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	5	1	1	+10	+5.7	16
2	Aarhus	7	4	2	1	+8	+4.8	14
3	Midtjylland	6	3	3	0	+8	+1.0	12
4	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+3	+3.5	12
5	Sonderjyske	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.6	10
6	Fredericia	7	3	1	3	-2	-4.6	10
7	Viborg	7	3	0	4	-1	-1.1	9
8	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.8	9
9	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	+2.8	8
10	Randers FC	7	2	1	4	-6	-3.7	7
11	Silkeborg	7	2	0	5	-7	+1.6	6
12	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-3	-5.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+6	+2.3	8
2	Sonderjyske	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
3	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+3	+6.7	7
4	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.4	6
5	Fredericia	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.9	6
6	Odense	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.5	6
7	Vejle	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.5	4
8	FC Copenhagen	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
9	Viborg	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.4	3
10	Silkeborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+3.1	3
11	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
12	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.8	12
2	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.8	7
3	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.1	6
4	Viborg	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.2	6
5	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.3	6
6	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.3	4
7	Fredericia	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.8	4
8	Randers FC	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
10	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.5	3
11	Odense	3	0	2	1	-4	+0.2	2
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.