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Conference League
Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili
Dinamo Tirana
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Tirana Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 62%
40%
83%
Points per game
1,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
80%
83%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,7
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Dinamo Tirana Jagiellonia
D. Bregu 🟨
28′
37′
🔁 E. Qardaku
↦ K. Qefalija
40′
🟨 D. Drachal
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 B. Maliqi
↦ L. Vila
62′
🔁 B. Dita
↦ L. Beqja
62′
🔁 H. Berisha
↦ J. Meksi
O. Pietuszewski 🔁
↦ N. Wojtuszek
63′
1–0 D. Bregu
68′
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ D. Drachal
71′
72′
🟨 O. Pietuszewski
D. Stojinovic 🔁
↦ L. Prip
77′
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ A. Pululu
77′
79′
D. Rallis 1–1
N. Aliji 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 T. Romanczuk
84′
🔁 F. Ferruku
↦ K. Gassama
T. Nani 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 D. Rallis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dinamo Tirana

50 S. Abramowicz
15 N. Wojtuszek
13 B. Vital
4 Y. Kobayashi
27 B. Wdowik
7 A. Pozo
31 L. Flach
8 D. Drachal
18 L. Prip
10 A. Pululu
11 J. Imaz
Bench (10)
22 M. Piekutowski
3 D. Stojinovic
5 C. Polak
6 T. Romanczuk
9 D. Rallis
19 A. Cantero
25 A. Jackson
80 O. Pietuszewski
85 E. Kozlowski
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Ilir Daja

Jagiellonia

77 A. Teqja
28 J. Meksi
31 L. Beqja
27 N. Aliji
47 Lorran
18 T. Nani
21 K. Qefalija
17 K. Gassama
23 B. Berisha
11 D. Bregu
10 L. Vila
Bench (12)
1 E. Sali
50 R. Guci
2 U. Ismaili
8 B. Goudiaby
14 B. Maliqi
20 F. Jonuzi
22 B. Dita
24 F. Ferruku
29 H. Berisha
45 B. Aniekan James
93 F. Neziri
99 E. Qardaku

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.