Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

NAC Breda

T U T S T

0–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

NAC Breda AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,5

Scored

0,7

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 2,82

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 25

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 6

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 15. · AZ Alkmaar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	4	3	0	1	+10	+7.5	9
2	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	+2.0	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+7	+2.7	9
4	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	+5.6	9
5	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.7	8
6	Zwolle	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	-5	-3.3	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
10	Volendam	4	0	4	0	+0	-3.7	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.9	3
14	Twente	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.2	3
15	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.6	3
16	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	-5.5	3
17	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	+4.0	2
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.9	6
4	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.0	6
5	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.6	3
11	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-3	-1.9	3
13	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
14	Heerenveen	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
15	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.4	6
2	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.3	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
6	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
7	Twente	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.1	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.7	2
10	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
11	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.7	2
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
13	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-8	-1.9	0
18	Heracles	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.