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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Aberdeen
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Falkirk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 12. · Falkirk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +6 +2.5 10
2 Hearts 4 3 1 0 +4 +0.8 10
3 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.0 4
4 Hibernian 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.1 4
5 Kilmarnock 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.1 4
6 Motherwell 4 0 4 0 +0 +1.8 4
7 Rangers 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.9 4
8 Livingston 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
9 St Mirren 3 0 2 1 -1 -1.5 2
10 Dundee 4 0 2 2 -3 -2.0 2
11 Falkirk 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.7 1
12 Aberdeen 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U
3,59
B ✓
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.