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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Piotr Lasyk
Cracovia
S U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Legia
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
2 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 4. · Legia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.2 16
2 Gornik Zabrze 7 4 0 3 +5 -0.2 12
3 Jagiellonia 5 4 0 1 +3 -2.5 12
4 Cracovia 6 3 2 1 +3 +2.5 11
5 Korona Kielce 7 3 2 2 +3 -2.1 11
6 Lech Poznan 5 3 1 1 +0 +3.4 10
7 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 +1 -0.1 8
8 Nieciecza 7 2 2 3 +0 -0.2 8
9 Motor Lublin 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.0 8
10 Arka Gdynia 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.8 8
11 Legia 4 2 1 1 +3 +3.6 7
12 Widzew Lodz 7 2 1 4 +0 +2.2 7
13 Pogon Szczecin 6 2 1 3 -4 +2.0 7
14 GKS Katowice 7 2 1 4 -5 -5.4 7
15 Zaglebie 6 1 3 2 +2 +0.7 6
16 Rakow 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.3 6
17 Lechia Gdansk 7 1 2 4 -7 -4.3 5
18 Piast Gliwice 5 0 3 2 -3 -0.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Legia
1–0 F. Stojilkovic
A. Al Ammari
24′
Otar Kakabadze 🟨
26′
45′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
Half-time 1–1
46′
M. Rajovic 1–1
59′
🔁 E. Krasniqi
↦ M. Alfarela
63′
🟨 Bartosz Kapustka
2–1 M. Perkovic
M. Maigaard
66′
K. Knap 🔁
↦ M. Klich
69′
70′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ W. Urbanski
Mikkel Maigaard 🟨
72′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ M. Minchev
77′
79′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ B. Kapustka
79′
🔁 J. Nsame
↦ A. Jedrzejczyk
Mauro Perković 🟨
88′
Filip Stojilković 🟨
89′
K. Zahiroleslam 🔁
↦ F. Stojilkovic
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
21 B. Sutalo D
4 G. Henriksson D
66 O. Wojcik D
25 O. Kakabadze M
43 M. Klich M
6 A. Al Ammari M
39 M. Perkovic M
11 M. Maigaard F
9 F. Stojilkovic F
17 M. Minchev F
Bench (10)
27 H. Ravas
19 D. Olafsson
24 J. Jugas
79 D. Pila
7 M. Praszelik
10 M. Rakoczy
20 K. Knap
23 F. Bzdyl
70 D. Kameri
18 K. Zahiroleslam

Coach: Luka Elsner

Legia

3-1-4-2
1 K. Tobiasz G
4 M. Burch D
55 A. Jedrzejczyk D
3 S. Kapuadi D
44 D. Szymanski M
30 P. Stojanovic M
67 B. Kapustka M
53 W. Urbanski M
13 A. Reca M
29 M. Rajovic F
9 M. Alfarela F
Bench (10)
27 G. Kobylak
7 P. Wszolek
19 R. Vinagre
8 R. Augustyniak
11 K. Chodyna
20 J. Zewlakow
21 V. Bichakhchyan
22 J. Elitim
18 J. Nsame
77 E. Krasniqi

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piotr Lasyk · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.