Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Trofense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
O Elvas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Salgueiros
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Rebordosa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Vila Real
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Machico
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
CF Os Belenenses
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Vila Caíz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Camacha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Lagoa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
AR São Martinho
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Amora
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Ribeira Brava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Pontassolense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Leça
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lusitânia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Varzim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.