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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Jagiellonia

T S S S S

5–2

Full-time

Cracovia

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,40 xG 2,44

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Jagiellonia 14. · Cracovia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.8	10
2	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.6	7
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.1	7
4	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.2	7
5	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.2	7
6	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.2	6
7	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	-1	+3.4	6
8	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.8	5
9	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
10	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
11	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.0	4
12	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
13	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
14	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
15	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
16	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.9	1
17	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
18	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.1	7
2	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.2	6
3	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
4	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
5	Arka Gdynia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
6	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
7	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
8	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.7	3
11	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
12	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
13	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
14	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
15	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.5	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
5	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.8	3
8	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
9	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
10	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
11	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.2	1
12	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.3	1
13	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.6	1
14	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
17	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.