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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Stromsgodset

T T S T U

3–1

Full-time

Molde

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

16%

42%

Points per game

0,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

74%

53%

Both score Ø 45%

53%

37%

Average goals

3,5

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,57 xG 1,03

34% Possession 66%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 15. · Molde 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	14	3	3	+33	+30.1	45
2	Viking	20	14	3	3	+22	+18.7	45
3	Brann	19	11	4	4	+7	+15.3	37
4	Tromso	20	11	3	6	+5	+3.6	36
5	Valerenga	20	9	3	8	+2	-2.4	30
6	Rosenborg	19	8	6	5	+2	+5.4	30
7	Sandefjord	19	9	1	9	+8	-4.4	28
8	KFUM Oslo	20	7	6	7	+7	+6.1	27
9	Molde	19	8	3	8	+4	+1.7	27
10	Fredrikstad	19	7	6	6	+3	-0.9	27
11	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	7	7	+1	+13.1	25
12	Kristiansund	20	6	6	8	-12	-13.9	24
13	Ham-Kam	20	5	6	9	-12	-13.9	21
14	Bryne	20	5	5	10	-10	-3.6	20
15	Stromsgodset	19	3	1	15	-21	-22.6	10
16	Haugesund	20	1	3	16	-39	-32.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	10	8	0	2	+18	+2.0	24
2	Viking	10	7	2	1	+13	+12.3	23
3	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
4	Fredrikstad	11	6	2	3	+7	+0.6	20
5	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
6	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
7	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+5	+6.0	19
8	Valerenga	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.2	17
9	Molde	10	5	1	4	+4	+6.5	16
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
11	Bryne	10	4	3	3	-1	+4.7	15
12	Ham-Kam	10	3	3	4	-6	-7.0	12
13	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-5	-7.9	10
14	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	3	4	+0	+3.8	9
15	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-19	-9.7	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	0	8	-14	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+15	+13.9	23
2	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
3	Brann	10	5	2	3	+1	+6.1	17
4	Tromso	10	5	2	3	+0	-2.4	17
5	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+1	+9.3	16
6	Kristiansund	10	4	2	4	-7	-6.0	14
7	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.6	13
8	KFUM Oslo	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.7	12
9	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.8	11
10	Rosenborg	10	3	2	5	-8	-4.1	11
11	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-7	-12.9	7
14	Bryne	10	1	2	7	-9	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-20	-22.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.