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Allsvenskan
Referee: Erik Mattsson
AIK
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sirius
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
38%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
33%
76%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 5. · Sirius 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 22 16 5 1 +26 +2.2 53
2 Hammarby 21 13 3 5 +17 +12.6 42
3 Goteborg 22 12 2 8 +4 +1.6 38
4 Malmo FF 21 10 7 4 +16 +12.4 37
5 AIK 21 10 7 4 +8 +6.5 37
6 Elfsborg 22 11 3 8 +5 -0.7 36
7 GAIS 21 9 8 4 +12 +10.5 35
8 Djurgarden 21 8 7 6 +4 +5.8 31
9 Brommapojkarna 22 8 2 12 +0 -1.4 26
10 Hacken 21 7 5 9 -5 +5.5 26
11 Norrkoping 21 7 4 10 -6 -9.2 25
12 Sirius 21 6 5 10 -3 -2.1 23
13 Halmstad 22 6 3 13 -25 -12.1 21
14 Oster 21 4 6 11 -10 -11.2 18
15 Degerfors 21 4 3 14 -23 -4.5 15
16 Varnamo 22 2 6 14 -20 -15.9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Sirius
Anton Salétros 🟨
16′
39′
K. Nordfeldt 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
Mads Thychosen 🟨
46′
2–0 E. Flataker
A. Saletros
59′
A. Ali 🔁
↦ T. Ayari
60′
D. Besirovic 🔁
↦ A. Csongvai
60′
3–0 A. Ali
62′
72′
🔁 N. Milleskog
↦ I. Bjerkebo
72′
🔁 V. Svensson
↦ M. Lindberg
K. Filling 🔁
↦ E. Flataker
74′
Y. Geiger 🔁
↦ B. Celina
74′
83′
🔁 A. Ljungberg
↦ M. Heier
89′
🔁 H. Sjogrell
↦ S. Sandberg
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AIK

5-4-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
2 E. Edh D
45 T. Ayari M
7 A. Saletros M
33 A. Csongvai M
10 B. Celina M
20 E. Flataker F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
14 F. Nissen
16 B. Tiedemann
18 A. Ali
19 D. Besirovic
22 A. Helm
29 K. Filling
36 Z. Yohanna
46 Y. Geiger

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Sirius

4-3-3
34 D. Celic G
2 H. Castegren D
15 S. Sandberg D
4 T. Anker D
22 O. Krusnell D
14 L. Walta M
10 M. Heier M
17 M. Lindberg M
7 J. Persson F
9 R. Ure F
29 I. Bjerkebo F
Bench (9)
1 I. Diawara
3 B. Milovanov
16 H. Sjogrell
18 A. Vikman
19 N. Milleskog
20 V. Ekstrom
21 D. Widgren
24 V. Svensson
36 A. Ljungberg

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Erik Mattsson · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.