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Serie A

Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Inter

S U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Udinese

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Udinese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

5,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,97 xG 1,21

68% Possession 32%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

13 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 5. · Udinese 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.9	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.2	6
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
6	Milan	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
7	Como	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
9	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
11	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
13	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
14	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
18	Torino	2	0	1	1	-5	-1.4	1
19	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
12	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
14	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
15	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
7	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
12	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.