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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Lech Poznan
T U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 12. · Widzew Lodz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.2 16
2 Gornik Zabrze 7 4 0 3 +5 -0.2 12
3 Cracovia 6 3 2 1 +3 +2.5 11
4 Korona Kielce 7 3 2 2 +3 -2.1 11
5 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +1 -2.5 9
6 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 +1 -0.1 8
7 Nieciecza 7 2 2 3 +0 -0.2 8
8 Motor Lublin 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.0 8
9 Arka Gdynia 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.8 8
10 Legia 4 2 1 1 +3 +3.6 7
11 Widzew Lodz 6 2 1 3 +1 +2.2 7
12 Lech Poznan 4 2 1 1 -1 +3.4 7
13 Pogon Szczecin 6 2 1 3 -4 +2.0 7
14 GKS Katowice 7 2 1 4 -5 -5.4 7
15 Zaglebie 6 1 3 2 +2 +0.7 6
16 Rakow 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.3 6
17 Lechia Gdansk 6 1 2 3 -5 -4.3 5
18 Piast Gliwice 5 0 3 2 -3 -0.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Widzew Lodz
12′
ℹ️ Bartłomiej Pawłowski
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 L. Palma
J. Pereira
21′
Antoni Kozubal 🟨
29′
Leo Bengtsson 🟨
37′
João Moutinho 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
50′
B. Pawlowski 1–1
P. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Kozubal
59′
M. Gurgul 🔁
↦ J. Moutinho
60′
G. Thordarson 🔁
↦ T. Ouma
60′
K. Lisman 🔁
↦ L. Bengtsson
60′
2–1 B. Fiabema
64′
66′
🔁 A. Klukowski
↦ B. Pawlowski
66′
🔁 S. Akere
↦ A. Baena Perez
76′
🔁 T. Teklic
↦ M. Fornalczyk
81′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ S. Czyz
A. Douglas 🔁
↦ J. Pereira
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
4 J. Moutinho D
14 L. Bengtsson M
6 T. Ouma
43 A. Kozubal M
77 L. Palma M
19 B. Fiabema F
24 F. Jagiello F
Bench (10)
31 K. Bakowski
3 A. Douglas
15 M. Gurgul
17 F. Szymczak
21 B. Baranski
23 G. Thordarson
53 S. Dudek
54 K. Jakobczyk
56 K. Lisman
99 P. Rodriguez

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
98 M. Kikolski G
91 M. Krajewski D
4 M. Zyro D
14 R. Visus D
13 D. Gallapeni D
10 F. Alvarez M
55 S. Czyz M
6 J. Shehu M
77 A. Baena Perez F
19 B. Pawlowski F
7 M. Fornalczyk F
Bench (10)
1 R. Gikiewicz
33 J. Krzywanski
5 S. Andreou
8 T. Teklic
18 L. Selahi
20 A. Klukowski
24 P. Volanakis
25 M. Hanousek
57 S. Akere
78 K. Cybulski

Coach: Patryk Czubak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.