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Serie B
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Sudtirol
S U U T U
3–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 14. · Sampdoria 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cesena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Modena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Reggiana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Monza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Mantova 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Virtus Entella 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Catanzaro 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Juve Stabia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Pescara 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Sampdoria
1–0 D. Casiraghi
8′
2–0 S. Merkaj
S. Davi
19′
Marius Adamonis 🟨
29′
3–0 H. El Kaouakibi
31′
Half-time 3–0
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
46′
46′
🔁 M. Coda
↦ J. Ferri
56′
🔁 E. Pedrola
↦ L. Cherubini
62′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
J. Martini 🔁
↦ S. Tronchin
67′
R. Odogwu 🔁
↦ E. Pecorino
67′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ F. Tait
73′
73′
🔁 F. Conti
↦ L. Henderson
73′
🔁 V. Narro
↦ M. Cuni
84′
🔁 S. Pafundi
↦ F. Depaoli
85′
🟨 Estanis Pedrola
F. Davi 🔁
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
86′
90′
M. Coda 3–1
O. Abildgaard
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
94 H. El Kaouakibi M
21 F. Tait M
18 S. Tronchin M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davi M
33 S. Merkaj F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (10)
1 G. Poluzzi
62 D. Theiner
3 F. Bordon
23 F. Davi
46 D. Brik
14 M. Coulibaly
8 A. Mallamo
6 J. Martini
11 J. Italeng
90 R. Odogwu

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Sampdoria

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ghidotti G
18 L. Venuti D
25 A. Ferrari D
5 A. Riccio D
44 N. Ioannou D
4 J. Ferri M
28 O. Abildgaard M
23 F. Depaoli M
16 L. Henderson M
10 L. Cherubini M
7 M. Cuni F
Bench (12)
98 G. Coucke
21 S. Giordano
39 L. Malanca
31 S. Vulikic
14 A. Bellemo
80 L. Benedetti
33 F. Conti
20 S. Pafundi
8 M. Ricci
9 M. Coda
70 V. Narro
11 E. Pedrola

Coach: Massimo Donati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,09
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.