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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Waskaas Lien

Ham-Kam

S T T S U

1–3

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,61 xG 2,91

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 13

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ham-Kam 13. · Sarpsborg 08 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	13	3	3	+32	+30.0	42
2	Viking	19	13	3	3	+21	+17.2	42
3	Brann	19	11	4	4	+7	+15.3	37
4	Tromso	19	10	3	6	+3	+3.8	33
5	Rosenborg	18	8	6	4	+3	+6.9	30
6	Valerenga	20	9	3	8	+2	-2.4	30
7	Sandefjord	18	9	1	8	+9	-4.3	28
8	KFUM Oslo	19	7	6	6	+9	+5.8	27
9	Molde	19	8	3	8	+4	+1.7	27
10	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
11	Kristiansund	20	6	6	8	-12	-13.9	24
12	Sarpsborg 08	19	5	7	7	-1	+10.8	22
13	Ham-Kam	19	5	6	8	-10	-11.6	21
14	Bryne	20	5	5	10	-10	-3.6	20
15	Stromsgodset	19	3	1	15	-21	-22.6	10
16	Haugesund	19	1	2	16	-39	-30.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	9	8	0	1	+19	+2.1	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Valerenga	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.2	17
8	Molde	10	5	1	4	+4	+6.5	16
9	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+3	+6.2	16
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
11	Bryne	10	4	3	3	-1	+4.7	15
12	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	-4	-4.7	12
13	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-5	-7.9	10
14	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	3	4	+0	+3.8	9
15	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-19	-9.7	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	0	8	-14	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+14	+13.8	20
3	Brann	10	5	2	3	+1	+6.1	17
4	Tromso	10	5	2	3	+0	-2.4	17
5	Kristiansund	10	4	2	4	-7	-6.0	14
6	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	4	3	-1	+7.0	13
7	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.6	13
8	KFUM Oslo	9	3	3	3	+2	+1.5	12
9	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.8	11
10	Rosenborg	9	3	2	4	-7	-2.5	11
11	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-7	-12.9	7
14	Bryne	10	1	2	7	-9	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	9	0	0	9	-20	-20.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.