Allsvenskan
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hammarby
Oster
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby
|
22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +26 | +2.2 | 53 |
| 2 |
Hammarby
|
21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | +17 | +12.6 | 42 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +9 | +6.5 | 40 |
| 4 |
Malmo FF
|
22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +16 | +13.0 | 38 |
| 5 |
Goteborg
|
22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | +4 | +1.6 | 38 |
| 6 |
Elfsborg
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +5 | -0.7 | 36 |
| 7 |
GAIS
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +12 | +10.5 | 35 |
| 8 |
Djurgarden
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +8 | +7.1 | 34 |
| 9 |
Brommapojkarna
|
22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | +0 | -1.4 | 26 |
| 10 |
Hacken
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | +5.5 | 26 |
| 11 |
Norrkoping
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -10 | -10.4 | 25 |
| 12 |
Sirius
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -4 | -2.1 | 23 |
| 13 |
Halmstad
|
22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -25 | -12.1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Oster
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -10 | -11.2 | 18 |
| 15 |
Degerfors
|
22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -23 | -5.1 | 16 |
| 16 |
Varnamo
|
22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -20 | -15.9 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sirius
Hammarby
Korsnäs
Hammarby
Hammarby
GAIS
Hammarby
Rosenborg
Norrkoping
Hammarby
Adam Ladeback · 38 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.