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Eredivisie

Referee: J van der Laan

Zwolle

U S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Utrecht

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,01 xG 1,14

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 6. · Utrecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	4	3	0	1	+10	+7.5	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+7	+2.7	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.7	8
4	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.8	6
5	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
6	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.3	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
10	Volendam	4	0	4	0	+0	-3.7	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.9	3
14	Twente	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.2	3
15	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.6	3
16	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	-5.5	3
17	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	+4.0	2
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.9	6
4	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.0	6
5	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
10	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
11	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
12	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.6	3
13	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
14	Heerenveen	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
15	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.3	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
6	Twente	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.1	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.7	2
9	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
10	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.7	2
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
14	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-8	-1.9	0
18	Heracles	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.