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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Monaco
S S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,94 xG 1,62
43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monaco 10. · Strasbourg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.3 9
2 Lille 3 2 1 0 +7 +3.3 7
3 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.2 6
4 Lens 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.1 6
5 Strasbourg 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.7 6
6 Toulouse 3 2 0 1 +0 -0.3 6
7 Angers 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.8 4
8 Rennes 3 1 1 1 -3 -3.0 4
9 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.0 3
10 Monaco 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.5 3
11 Nice 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
12 Nantes 3 1 0 2 -1 -2.8 3
13 Auxerre 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
14 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -3 +0.9 3
15 Brest 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.8 1
16 Le Havre 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.3 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.8 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Strasbourg
1–0 M. Akliouche
6′
8′
🟨 Ismael Doukouré
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Paez
↦ A. Ouattara
46′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ I. Doukoure
2–0 F. Balogun
L. Camara
48′
71′
🔁 S. El Mourabet
↦ M. Amougou
71′
🔁 S. Amo-Ameyaw
↦ D. Moreira
73′
D. Bakwa 2–1
S. Amo-Ameyaw
76′
J. Panichelli 2–2
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ L. Camara
78′
P. Kohn 🔁
↦ L. Hradecky
79′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
79′
T. Minamino 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
85′
3–2 T. Minamino
M. Akliouche
90′
92′
🔁 R. Nzingoula
↦ F. Lemarechal
99′
🟥 Rabby Nzingoula
Maghnes Akliouche 🟨
101′
Mamadou Coulibaly 🟨
101′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ F. Balogun
101′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
4 J. Teze D
3 E. Dier D
13 C. Mawissa D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
14 M. Biereth M
10 A. Golovin M
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
16 P. Kohn
5 T. Kehrer
20 K. Ouattara
22 M. Salisu
23 A. Bamba
28 M. Coulibaly
18 T. Minamino
29 P. Brunner
19 G. Ilenikhena

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
39 M. Penders G
24 L. Hogsberg D
23 M. Sarr D
6 I. Doukoure D
42 A. Ouattara M
17 M. Amougou M
83 R. Luis M
7 D. Moreira M
80 F. Lemarechal F
32 V. Barco F
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (9)
1 K. Johnsson
77 E. Sobol
29 S. El Mourabet
11 S. Nanasi
41 R. Nzingoula
8 M. Oyedele
16 K. Paez
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
26 D. Bakwa

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,34
B
5,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.