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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Jagiellonia

T T T S T

3–2

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

3,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 41%

57%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

43%

75%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,37 xG 1,37

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Lechia Gdansk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.2	19
2	Cracovia	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
3	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	1	3	+5	+2.6	16
4	Piast Gliwice	8	4	3	1	+3	+1.6	15
5	Legia	9	4	2	3	+6	+4.3	14
6	Rakow	8	4	2	2	+3	+3.9	14
7	Widzew Lodz	8	3	3	2	+1	-3.2	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	4	0	3	-3	-1.5	12
9	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.7	9
10	Radomiak Radom	8	3	0	5	-1	+0.8	9
11	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-2	-2.0	9
12	Korona Kielce	9	2	3	4	-7	-4.6	9
13	Puszcza	9	1	5	3	-1	+0.0	8
14	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.6	8
15	Zaglebie	8	2	2	4	-4	-1.7	8
16	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.5	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	4	2	-4	+2.0	4
18	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-5	+0.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	5	5	0	0	+9	+6.1	15
2	Lech Poznan	4	4	0	0	+11	+4.5	12
3	Legia	5	3	0	2	+6	+6.0	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.3	9
5	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.3	8
6	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
7	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.0	7
8	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
9	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+3	+3.6	6
10	Puszcza	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.7	6
11	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.4	5
13	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.8	5
14	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
15	Stal Mielec	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
16	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.3	4
17	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3
18	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+5	+3.1	13
2	Cracovia	5	4	0	1	+5	-0.4	12
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.4	7
5	Legia	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
6	Widzew Lodz	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.1	5
7	GKS Katowice	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
8	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.0	4
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.2	4
11	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.8	3
12	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.8	3
13	Korona Kielce	5	0	3	2	-7	-5.1	3
14	Puszcza	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.7	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.1	1
16	Pogon Szczecin	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.4	1
17	Zaglebie	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.7	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.