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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Jagiellonia

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 25%

23%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 56%

69%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

22 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 15. · Lechia Gdansk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	26	19	4	3	+33	61
2	Legia	26	16	7	3	+15	55
3	Lech Poznan	27	13	8	6	+13	47
4	Pogon Szczecin	27	12	8	7	+3	44
5	Warta Poznan	27	10	8	9	+5	38
6	Widzew Lodz	27	10	8	9	+1	38
7	Wisla Plock	27	10	6	11	+2	36
8	Piast Gliwice	27	10	6	11	+2	36
9	Cracovia	27	9	8	10	+3	35
10	Stal Mielec	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Radomiak Radom	26	9	6	11	-3	33
12	Korona Kielce	27	8	7	12	-9	31
13	Slask Wroclaw	27	7	10	10	-10	31
14	Zaglebie	27	8	7	12	-14	31
15	Jagiellonia	26	6	12	8	+1	30
16	Gornik Zabrze	27	7	8	12	-7	29
17	Lechia Gdansk	26	7	5	14	-17	26
18	Legnica	26	4	7	15	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
5	Cracovia	13	6	4	3	+8	22
6	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
7	Jagiellonia	13	6	2	5	+5	20
8	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
10	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
11	Stal Mielec	13	4	5	4	+2	17
12	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	4	5	-4	16
13	Warta Poznan	13	3	6	4	+1	15
14	Piast Gliwice	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Legnica	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Radomiak Radom	13	4	2	7	-4	14
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	14	2	5	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
2	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Legia	13	7	3	3	+2	24
4	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-2	15
12	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	4	6	-7	13
14	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Jagiellonia	13	0	10	3	-4	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	1	9	-13	10
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.