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Ekstraklasa

Referee: B Frankowski

Lechia Gdansk

S S U T T

3–4

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,7

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,95 xG 3,73

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 11

6 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 10

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 11. · Lech Poznan 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
2	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.1	6
3	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	4
4	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
5	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.0	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
9	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
10	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
11	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
14	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
15	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
16	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
17	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
9	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
11	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
12	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
4	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
5	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
6	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
7	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
8	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
9	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
10	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
11	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.