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Süper Lig
Referee: C Altay
1–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genclerbirligi Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,20 xG 1,65
38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genclerbirligi 16. · Fenerbahce 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 +12 +8.6 12
2 Trabzonspor 3 3 0 0 +3 +2.3 9
3 Goztep 4 2 2 0 +5 +0.6 8
4 Konyaspor 3 2 1 0 +6 -0.1 7
5 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
6 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 -1.3 6
7 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 -4 -2.7 6
8 Fenerbahce 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.7 4
9 Eyüpspor 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.5 3
10 Karagumruk 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.2 3
11 Kayserispor 3 0 2 1 -4 -3.8 2
12 Alanyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.0 1
13 Kocaelispor 4 0 1 3 -4 -0.8 1
14 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -5 +0.6 1
15 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -3 -0.8 0
16 Genclerbirligi 3 0 0 3 -3 -2.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genclerbirligi Fenerbahce
14′
P. Pereira 1–0
own goal
35′
Y. En Nesyri 1–1
A. Brown
40′
Y. En Nesyri 1–2
Half-time 1–2
O. Ulgun 🔁
↦ M. Mimaroglu
46′
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ M. Kyabou
57′
57′
🔁 I. Yuksek
↦ Fred
58′
🔁 J. Oosterwolde
↦ A. Brown
Žan Žužek 🟨
60′
2–2 D. Goutas
64′
68′
🔁 M. Muldur
↦ O. Aydin
68′
🔁 S. Szymanski
↦ Talisca
M. Niang 🔁
↦ M. Hanousek
70′
82′
🔁 C. Under
↦ I. C. Kahveci
S. Osmanoglu 🔁
↦ Z. Zuzek
88′
S. Onur 🔁
↦ G. Gurpuz
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genclerbirligi

4-2-3-1
1 G. Akkan G
13 P. Pereira D
2 Thalisson Kelven D
6 D. Goutas D
23 M. Hanousek D
4 Z. Zuzek M
81 M. Kyabou M
20 A. Traore M
11 G. Gurpuz M
10 M. Mimaroglu M
22 S. Koita F
Bench (10)
18 E. Erenturk
33 E. Aydin
90 S. Osmanoglu
77 A. Dursun
93 Y. Aydar
21 D. Demir
35 O. Ulgun
8 S. Onur
16 F. Ayaz Ozcan
29 M. Niang

Coach: Ozcan Bizati

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livakovic G
70 O. Aydin D
37 M. Skriniar D
4 C. Soyuncu D
33 A. Brown D
11 E. Alvarez M
7 Fred M
17 I. C. Kahveci M
94 Talisca M
45 D. Nene M
19 Y. En Nesyri F
Bench (10)
1 I. Egribayat
18 M. Muldur
24 J. Oosterwolde
14 Y. E. Demir
22 L. Mercan
5 I. Yuksek
34 S. Amrabat
53 S. Szymanski
23 C. Tosun
20 C. Under

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,01
U
4,98
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.