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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Magdeburg
S T S S T
4–5
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 15. · Greuther Furth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 4 4 0 0 +6 +2.5 12
2 Elversberg 4 3 0 1 +2 -2.9 9
3 Karlsruhe 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.3 8
4 Bielefeld 4 2 1 1 +5 +1.7 7
5 Darmstadt 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.9 7
6 Preußen Münster 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.5 7
7 Braunschweig 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
8 Schalke 04 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.8 6
9 Paderborn 4 1 2 1 +0 +2.8 5
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -5 -3.5 4
11 Dresden 3 1 0 2 -1 +1.8 3
12 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.2 3
13 Greuther Furth 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
14 Holstein Kiel 4 1 0 3 -2 +0.1 3
15 Magdeburg 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
16 Bochum 4 1 0 3 -3 +1.8 3
17 Hertha 4 0 2 2 -3 -1.9 2
18 Nurnberg 4 0 1 3 -3 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Greuther Furth
14′
🟨 Aaron Keller
24′
N. Futkeu 0–1
B. Hrgota
1–1 A. Holmstrom
L. Ulrich
28′
Half-time 1–1
Max Geschwill 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 J. Green
↦ S. Banse
62′
F. Klaus 1–2
2–2 A. Holmstrom
J. Hugonet
64′
Alexander Nollenberger 🟨
67′
69′
N. Futkeu 2–3
P. Ziereis
Barış Atik 🟨
71′
Alexander Nollenberger 🟨
71′
Alexander Nollenberger 🟥
71′
76′
F. Klaus 2–4
N. Futkeu
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ M. Geschwill
82′
N. Pesch 🔁
↦ L. Hyrylainen
82′
D. Stalmach 🔁
↦ B. Atik
82′
82′
🔁 M. John
↦ A. Keller
82′
🔁 F. Higl
↦ N. Futkeu
3–4 R. Ghrieb
E. Dzogovic
83′
Rayan Ghrieb 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 Philipp Ziereis
A. Hoti 🔁
↦ E. Dzogovic
89′
F. Michel 🔁
↦ L. Ulrich
90′
4–4 N. Pesch
90′
90′
M. John 4–5
F. Klaus
91′
🟨 Jannik Dehm
91′
🔁 N. Konig
↦ J. Dehm
100′
🟨 Felix Klaus
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-4-1-1
1 D. Reimann G
4 E. Dzogovic D
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
28 M. Geschwill D
29 R. Ghrieb M
38 L. Hyrylainen M
8 L. Ulrich M
17 A. Nollenberger M
23 B. Atik F
11 A. Holmstrom F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
27 P. Hercher
5 T. Muller
3 A. Hoti
25 S. Gnaka
21 F. Michel
13 C. Krempicki
10 N. Pesch
6 D. Stalmach

Coach: Petrik Sander

Greuther Furth

4-2-3-1
26 P. Boevink G
23 J. Dehm D
4 P. Ziereis D
25 B. Bjarnason D
27 G. Itter D
8 M. Olesen M
6 S. Banse M
30 F. Klaus M
10 B. Hrgota M
16 A. Keller M
9 N. Futkeu F
Bench (9)
1 N. Korber
2 L. Reich
5 R. Munz
17 N. Konig
24 M. John
37 J. Green
18 F. Higl
22 J. Cabrera
42 O. Sillah

Coach: Heiko Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,89
B ✓
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.