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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Piszczelok
Cracovia
T S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,55 xG 0,57
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 2. · Lechia Gdansk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 3 3 0 0 +5 +4.8 9
2 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.6 6
3 Widzew Lodz 3 2 0 1 +3 +2.1 6
4 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 0 1 +1 -1.5 6
5 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 -1 +3.4 6
6 Radomiak Radom 2 1 1 0 +4 -0.1 4
7 Nieciecza 3 1 1 1 +2 +1.0 4
8 Pogon Szczecin 3 1 1 1 -1 +0.1 4
9 Rakow 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.1 3
10 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 -2 +0.6 3
11 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -3 -2.4 3
12 Zaglebie 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.1 2
13 Arka Gdynia 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
14 GKS Katowice 3 0 1 2 -4 -4.2 1
15 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -4 -3.4 1
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.0 0
17 Piast Gliwice 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Lechia Gdansk
Gustav Henriksson 🟨
6′
9′
T. Bobcek 0–1
K. Sezonienko
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson 🟨
25′
1–1 F. Stojilkovic
36′
M. Praszelik 🔁
↦ A. Hasic
41′
43′
🟨 Maksym Diachuk
Half-time 1–2
54′
I. Zhelizko 1–2
B. Biedrzycki 🔁
↦ A. Al Ammari
63′
F. Bzdyl 🔁
↦ M. Minchev
63′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ D. Olafsson
63′
Otar Kakabadze 🟨
64′
75′
🔁 T. Wojtowicz
↦ K. Sezonienko
80′
🔁 T. Neugebauer
↦ R. Kapic
M. Perkovic 🔁
↦ G. Henriksson
81′
87′
🟨 Elias Olsson
2–2 F. Stojilkovic
O. Kakabadze
90′
92′
🔁 D. Kurminowski
↦ T. Bobcek
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
79 D. Pila D
4 G. Henriksson D
66 O. Wojcik D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 A. Al Ammari M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Olafsson M
14 A. Hasic F
9 F. Stojilkovic F
17 M. Minchev F
Bench (11)
13 S. Madejski
33 K. Cymerys
24 J. Jugas
39 M. Perkovic
22 B. Biedrzycki
23 F. Bzdyl
70 D. Kameri
20 K. Knap
3 A. Skovgaard
7 M. Praszelik
77 P. Janasik

Coach: Luka Elsner

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
1 S. Weirauch G
16 A. Jaunzems D
15 M. Dyachuk D
3 E. Olsson D
27 M. Vojtko D
10 R. Kapic M
5 I. Zhelizko M
11 C. Mena M
7 B. Viunnyk M
79 K. Sezonienko M
89 T. Bobcek F
Bench (9)
81 K. Gutowski
23 M. Kalahur
17 A. Tsarenko
6 K. Wendt
99 T. Neugebauer
33 T. Wojtowicz
21 M. Glogowski
72 M. Awad
90 D. Kurminowski

Coach: John Carver

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.