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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Celta

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,7

3,5

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+3,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,04

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 17. · Villarreal 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.6	9
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
4	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
5	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
6	Elche	3	1	2	0	+2	-2.3	5
7	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
9	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
10	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.9	3
13	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
14	Oviedo	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.3	3
15	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
16	Ath Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
17	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
18	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.3	0
20	Girona	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
5	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
10	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
11	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
13	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
6	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
7	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
11	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
12	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
17	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
18	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.