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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Espanol

T T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Osasuna

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,21 xG 1,37

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 9. · Osasuna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.6	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+3	+3.6	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.7	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
5	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
6	Elche	3	1	2	0	+2	-2.3	5
7	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
9	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
10	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.9	3
13	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
14	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	-0.2	3
15	Oviedo	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.3	3
16	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
17	Ath Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
18	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.3	0
20	Girona	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
5	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
10	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
11	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
12	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
18	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
19	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
20	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.