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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Rosenborg

T U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Valerenga

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

52%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,04 xG 0,38

75% Possession 25%

21 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rosenborg 8. · Valerenga 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	28	20	5	3	+36	+24.4	65
2	Bodo/Glimt	27	19	4	4	+46	+41.0	61
3	Brann	27	16	4	7	+11	+22.4	52
4	Tromso	27	16	3	8	+12	+9.1	51
5	Fredrikstad	28	11	9	8	+9	-3.2	42
6	Valerenga	27	12	4	11	+1	-7.5	40
7	Sandefjord	27	12	3	12	+6	-5.6	39
8	Rosenborg	27	9	9	9	-3	+1.7	36
9	Sarpsborg 08	28	9	8	11	-6	+8.1	35
10	KFUM Oslo	27	8	10	9	+4	+11.8	34
11	Ham-Kam	28	9	7	12	-8	-12.4	34
12	Molde	27	10	3	14	-1	+4.6	33
13	Kristiansund	27	8	7	12	-21	-18.9	31
14	Bryne	27	7	7	13	-14	-7.5	28
15	Stromsgodset	27	6	2	19	-24	-23.5	20
16	Haugesund	27	2	3	22	-48	-44.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	11	2	1	+24	+16.5	35
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	1	2	+29	+24.9	31
3	Brann	13	9	2	2	+10	+14.2	29
4	Sandefjord	13	9	1	3	+16	+1.9	28
5	Tromso	14	9	1	4	+10	+8.1	28
6	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
7	Fredrikstad	14	7	4	3	+9	+1.9	25
8	Molde	14	7	1	6	+6	+12.1	22
9	Bryne	14	6	4	4	+0	+2.5	22
10	Rosenborg	13	5	6	2	+8	+9.4	21
11	Ham-Kam	14	6	3	5	+0	-4.6	21
12	KFUM Oslo	14	5	5	4	+5	+8.8	20
13	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	4	6	-3	+3.9	16
14	Kristiansund	13	4	4	5	-4	-6.3	16
15	Stromsgodset	14	3	1	10	-15	-7.5	10
16	Haugesund	13	1	2	10	-24	-12.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	3	2	+17	+16.1	30
2	Viking	14	9	3	2	+12	+7.9	30
3	Tromso	13	7	2	4	+2	+1.0	23
4	Brann	14	7	2	5	+1	+8.2	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	4	5	-3	+4.2	19
6	Fredrikstad	14	4	5	5	+0	-5.0	17
7	Rosenborg	14	4	3	7	-11	-7.7	15
8	Kristiansund	14	4	3	7	-17	-12.6	15
9	KFUM Oslo	13	3	5	5	-1	+3.0	14
10	Ham-Kam	14	3	4	7	-8	-7.9	13
11	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
12	Molde	13	3	2	8	-7	-7.5	11
13	Sandefjord	14	3	2	9	-10	-7.5	11
14	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-9	-15.9	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	14	1	1	12	-24	-31.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.