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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Rosenborg
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Valerenga
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
3,5
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Valerenga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 25 20 3 2 +39 63
2 Bodo/Glimt 25 14 6 5 +32 48
3 Lillestrom 25 14 5 6 +16 47
4 Rosenborg 24 12 8 4 +18 44
5 Valerenga 24 13 3 8 +14 42
6 Odd 25 10 5 10 -8 35
7 Tromso 25 8 10 7 -5 34
8 Viking 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Sarpsborg 08 25 10 2 13 +1 32
10 Stromsgodset 25 9 5 11 -1 32
11 Haugesund 25 8 6 11 -5 30
12 Aalesund 24 7 7 10 -12 28
13 Ham-Kam 25 5 11 9 -8 26
14 Sandefjord 25 6 5 14 -22 23
15 Kristiansund 25 4 6 15 -21 18
16 Jerv 24 4 2 18 -37 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Valerenga
1–0 C. Tengstedt
O. Sæter
17′
2–0 V. Jensen
E. Tagseth
32′
44′
🟨 Simen Juklerød
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ H. Bjørdal
46′
🔁 O. Sahraoui
↦ J. Eng
P. Skjelbred 🔁
↦ T. Børkeeiet
70′
S. Vecchia 🔁
↦ O. Sæter
70′
3–0 V. Jensen
C. Tengstedt
73′
77′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ O. Holm
R. Giampaoli 🔁
↦ S. Rogers
82′
O. Skarsem 🔁
↦ V. Jensen
82′
K. Ingason 🔁
↦ C. Tengstedt
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan D
15 S. Rogers D
32 L. Cornic M
7 M. Henriksen D
11 V. Jensen M
8 T. Børkeeiet M
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse M
17 C. Tengstedt F
27 O. Sæter F
Bench (9)
5 P. Skjelbred
22 S. Vecchia
18 R. Giampaoli
21 O. Skarsem
80 K. Ingason
24 S. Tangvik
39 M. Broholm
16 H. Røsten
19 A. Pereira

Coach: K. Rekdal

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
18 S. Juklerød D
7 F. Jensen D
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
9 T. Børven F
11 A. Layouni F
27 J. Eng F
Bench (8)
17 T. Christensen
10 O. Sahraoui
19 S. Jatta
20 M. Riisnæs
14 H. Udahl
31 A. Hammer Kjelsen
1 S. Rossbach
23 Brynjar Bjarnason

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.