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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Aarhus

S U S S U

2–3

Full-time

Sonderjyske

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,66 xG 2,35

64% Possession 36%

21 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 2. · Sonderjyske 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	9	5	1	+22	+2.1	32
2	Aarhus	14	9	4	1	+14	+11.7	31
3	Brondby	14	9	1	4	+12	+9.9	28
4	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+12.2	25
5	Sonderjyske	14	5	4	5	+1	-0.6	19
6	Viborg	15	6	1	8	-1	-3.4	19
7	Odense	15	5	4	6	-10	+3.9	19
8	Nordsjaelland	14	6	0	8	-5	-3.0	18
9	Silkeborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-9.0	18
10	Randers FC	15	5	2	8	-6	+0.5	17
11	Fredericia	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.8	11
12	Vejle	15	2	4	9	-10	-10.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	+13	+5.1	18
2	Aarhus	7	5	1	1	+7	+12.1	16
3	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.3	13
4	Sonderjyske	7	4	1	2	+5	+0.8	13
5	Odense	8	3	2	3	-4	+4.3	11
6	FC Copenhagen	7	2	4	1	+2	+7.9	10
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.5	10
8	Randers FC	7	3	1	3	-3	-1.6	10
9	Viborg	7	3	0	4	-1	-3.4	9
10	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-3	+1.2	9
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	8	2	1	5	-10	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	7	4	3	0	+7	-0.4	15
2	Brondby	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.6	15
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	0	3	+5	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+9	-3.0	14
5	Viborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+0.1	10
6	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.3	9
7	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	-0.4	8
8	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
9	Randers FC	8	2	1	5	-3	+2.1	7
10	Sonderjyske	7	1	3	3	-4	-1.4	6
11	Fredericia	7	1	1	5	-7	-7.4	4
12	Vejle	7	0	2	5	-9	-7.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.