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Süper Lig

Referee: Ozan Ergun

Fenerbahce

S S S S U

4–2

Full-time

Kayserispor

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

64%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,24 xG 1,26

62% Possession 38%

28 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

11 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Kayserispor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	9	2	1	+19	+14.3	29
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	0	+13	+14.2	25
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+10	+0.3	25
4	Goztep	12	6	4	2	+9	+3.2	22
5	Samsunspor	11	5	5	1	+6	+5.7	20
6	Besiktas	12	6	2	4	+5	+10.7	20
7	Gaziantep	12	5	4	3	-3	+1.0	19
8	Alanyaspor	12	3	6	3	+0	-4.9	15
9	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-2	-2.7	14
10	Rizespor	12	3	5	4	-2	+0.7	14
11	Kocaelispor	12	4	2	6	-4	-3.2	14
12	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	+2	-0.5	13
13	Antalyaspor	12	4	1	7	-10	-8.9	13
14	Genclerbirligi	12	3	2	7	-5	-5.7	11
15	Kasimpasa	12	2	4	6	-6	-7.6	10
16	Kayserispor	11	1	6	4	-13	-6.4	9
17	Eyüpspor	11	2	2	7	-8	-3.0	8
18	Karagumruk	12	2	1	9	-11	-7.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+8	+5.3	15
2	Galatasaray	6	4	2	0	+9	+6.3	14
3	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+6	+11.4	13
4	Goztep	5	3	2	0	+5	+2.2	11
5	Kocaelispor	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.9	11
6	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-3	+3.4	11
7	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.7	9
8	Samsunspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+4.7	9
9	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.2	8
10	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
11	Eyüpspor	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.9	7
12	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-3	+4.1	7
13	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
14	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-2	-0.5	6
15	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-9	-2.7	5
16	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.1	4
17	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.6	4
18	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-4	-1.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
3	Samsunspor	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.9	11
4	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.9	11
5	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+3	+5.0	11
6	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-5.0	10
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	0	3	-1	-6.3	9
8	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.3	8
9	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+0	-2.4	8
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	+2	-0.3	7
11	Rizespor	6	1	4	1	+1	-3.4	7
12	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-3.7	7
13	Kasimpasa	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.7	7
14	Genclerbirligi	6	1	1	4	-3	-7.0	4
15	Kayserispor	5	0	4	1	-4	-3.7	4
16	Karagumruk	5	1	0	4	-5	-6.0	3
17	Kocaelispor	6	1	0	5	-7	-6.1	3
18	Eyüpspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-2.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.