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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Las Palmas
U S U T U
3–1
Full-time
Santander
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 55%
42%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
25%
92%
Both score Ø 63%
42%
83%
Average goals
1,6
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,21 xG 0,67
50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 5. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 12 8 1 3 +10 -0.4 25
2 La Coruna 13 6 5 2 +12 +1.5 23
3 Almeria 12 6 4 2 +5 +1.0 22
4 Burgos 12 6 3 3 +7 +2.8 21
5 Las Palmas 12 5 5 2 +5 +0.7 20
6 Cordoba 13 5 5 3 +2 +0.4 20
7 Cadiz 12 5 5 2 +2 -1.1 20
8 Valladolid 12 5 4 3 +4 +3.8 19
9 Sp Gijon 13 6 1 6 -1 -0.7 19
10 Ceuta 12 5 3 4 -3 -1.6 18
11 Andorra 13 4 5 4 -3 +1.4 17
12 Eibar 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.5 16
13 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -3 -1.7 16
14 Leganes 13 3 6 4 +1 -0.0 15
15 Castellon 12 4 3 5 +0 +0.1 15
16 Sociedad B 13 4 3 6 -1 +0.8 15
17 Malaga 13 4 3 6 -1 -1.3 15
18 Huesca 13 4 3 6 -6 +0.9 15
19 Cultural Leonesa 13 4 2 7 -4 -3.9 14
20 Mirandes 13 3 3 7 -7 -0.5 12
21 Granada 12 2 5 5 -5 -1.5 11
22 Zaragoza 12 1 3 8 -14 -0.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Santander
5′
🟨 Gustavo Puerta
13′
A. Villalibre 0–1
A. Martin
1–1 M. Fuster
37′
2–1 M. Marmol
E. Clemente
40′
3–1 A. Garcia
Pejino
45′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 J. Castro
↦ F. Gonzalez
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 M. Sergio
↦ P. Canales
57′
🔁 J. Arana
↦ A. Villalibre
57′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ M. Gueye
Pejiño 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 Y. Cabanzon
↦ A. Martin
Marvin 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
69′
I. Gil 🔁
↦ Pejino
69′
C. Gutierrez 🔁
↦ Viti
78′
K. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ M. Lukovic
78′
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
82′
Enzo Loiodice 🟥
82′
84′
🔁 M. Sangalli
↦ G. Puerta
E. Cedeno 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
86′
Jese 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
86′
Edward Cedeño 🟨
91′
Iván Gil 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
22 A. Garcia M
14 M. Fuster M
24 Pejino M
25 M. Lukovic F
Bench (12)
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
23 C. Gutierrez
15 J. Herzog
2 Marvin
4 Alex Suarez
7 J. Mata
18 E. Cedeno
8 I. Gil
26 I. Gonzalez
20 K. Rodriguez
10 Jese

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
21 P. Ramon D
16 F. Gonzalez D
3 M. Garcia D
14 M. Gueye M
19 G. Puerta M
11 A. Martin M
29 Jeremy Arevalo M
18 P. Canales M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (10)
13 P. Andreev
5 J. Castro
4 Manu
8 A. Aldasoro
7 Y. Cabanzon
36 M. Sergio
6 I. Sainz-Maza
9 J. Arana
20 S. Camara
15 M. Sangalli

Coach: José Alberto López Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,31
B
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.