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Super League

Referee: Lukas Fahndrich

St. Gallen

T T S S T

1–4

Full-time

Young Boys

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 53%

64%

42%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

82%

75%

Both score Ø 70%

64%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,6

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,34 xG 1,01

60% Possession 40%

19 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 3. · Young Boys 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	10	1	2	+12	-2.9	31
2	Basel	13	7	1	5	+6	+8.6	22
3	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
4	Lugano	12	6	1	5	+0	+1.6	19
5	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	-1	-2.7	19
6	Sion	12	5	3	4	+3	+4.8	18
7	Luzern	13	4	5	4	+4	-0.3	17
8	Zurich	13	5	1	7	-6	+3.4	16
9	Lausanne	12	4	3	5	+4	+4.5	15
10	Servette	13	4	2	7	-5	+0.4	14
11	Grasshoppers	13	3	4	6	-9	-10.5	13
12	Winterthur	13	1	3	9	-20	-9.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-3.9	13
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
3	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
4	Basel	6	4	0	2	+7	+11.0	12
5	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.3	11
6	Lausanne	6	3	0	3	+6	+5.6	9
7	Zurich	7	3	0	4	-3	+3.5	9
8	Grasshoppers	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
9	Servette	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.3	8
10	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
11	Luzern	6	1	3	2	+4	+2.6	6
12	Winterthur	7	1	2	4	-4	-1.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	7	6	0	1	+7	+1.0	18
2	Sion	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Luzern	7	3	2	2	+0	-2.9	11
4	Basel	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.4	10
5	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
6	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	-6	-6.0	8
7	Zurich	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
8	Lausanne	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.1	6
9	Servette	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.1	6
10	Lugano	6	2	0	4	-5	+0.3	6
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	2	4	-12	-8.5	5
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.