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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Waskaas Lien

Molde

S T T T U

4–1

Full-time

Valerenga

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

36%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

41%

64%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,55 xG 0,69

47% Possession 53%

21 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 11. · Valerenga 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	23	15	5	3	+23	+20.6	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+39	+35.0	49
3	Brann	22	14	4	4	+12	+19.4	46
4	Tromso	23	14	3	6	+10	+5.4	45
5	Rosenborg	22	9	7	6	+1	+2.9	34
6	Fredrikstad	22	8	7	7	+3	-3.0	31
7	Valerenga	22	9	4	9	+1	-4.6	31
8	KFUM Oslo	22	7	8	7	+7	+7.1	29
9	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	8	8	+1	+11.4	29
10	Sandefjord	21	9	1	11	+4	-5.4	28
11	Molde	22	8	3	11	+0	-0.4	27
12	Kristiansund	23	7	6	10	-18	-16.3	27
13	Bryne	23	6	6	11	-10	-3.6	24
14	Ham-Kam	23	6	6	11	-10	-10.9	24
15	Stromsgodset	23	6	1	16	-19	-22.1	19
16	Haugesund	22	1	3	18	-44	-35.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+14	+13.7	26
2	Brann	11	8	2	1	+8	+12.0	26
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
4	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+8	+6.7	25
5	Sandefjord	11	8	0	3	+15	+0.7	24
6	Fredrikstad	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
7	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
8	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	+0.2	18
9	Bryne	12	5	3	4	-1	+4.2	18
10	KFUM Oslo	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
11	Molde	11	5	1	5	+3	+6.3	16
12	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-3	-4.5	15
13	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	4	4	+1	+3.1	13
14	Kristiansund	11	3	4	4	-3	-6.0	13
15	Stromsgodset	11	3	0	8	-11	-8.2	9
16	Haugesund	11	1	2	8	-22	-11.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	12	7	3	2	+9	+6.9	24
3	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+7.4	20
4	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	+0	+8.4	16
6	Rosenborg	12	4	2	6	-9	-5.4	14
7	Kristiansund	12	4	2	6	-15	-10.2	14
8	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	+0	+2.7	13
9	Valerenga	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.8	13
10	Molde	11	3	2	6	-3	-6.7	11
11	Fredrikstad	10	2	4	4	-4	-3.1	10
12	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
13	Ham-Kam	11	2	3	6	-7	-6.4	9
14	Bryne	11	1	3	7	-9	-7.7	6
15	Sandefjord	10	1	1	8	-11	-6.2	4
16	Haugesund	11	0	1	10	-22	-24.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.