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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Valerenga

U T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 32%

40%

24%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

56%

76%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,50 xG 0,46

67% Possession 33%

23 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

16 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 10. · Stromsgodset 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	26	18	5	3	+32	+24.3	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	25	18	4	3	+47	+39.6	58
3	Brann	25	16	4	5	+13	+19.8	52
4	Tromso	26	15	3	8	+8	+6.5	48
5	Sandefjord	25	12	2	11	+8	-5.2	38
6	Fredrikstad	26	9	9	8	+5	-3.3	36
7	Sarpsborg 08	26	9	8	9	+0	+10.2	35
8	Rosenborg	25	9	8	8	-1	+4.3	35
9	KFUM Oslo	26	8	10	8	+7	+9.6	34
10	Valerenga	25	10	4	11	-2	-7.0	34
11	Ham-Kam	26	8	7	11	-7	-12.5	31
12	Kristiansund	26	8	7	11	-19	-18.4	31
13	Molde	26	9	3	14	-3	+2.0	30
14	Bryne	26	6	7	13	-15	-6.0	25
15	Stromsgodset	25	6	2	17	-22	-21.7	20
16	Haugesund	26	1	3	22	-51	-42.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	10	2	1	+21	+16.2	32
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	1	2	+29	+24.9	31
3	Brann	12	9	2	1	+11	+13.0	29
4	Sandefjord	13	9	1	3	+16	+1.9	28
5	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
7	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
8	KFUM Oslo	13	5	5	3	+8	+6.7	20
9	Rosenborg	12	5	5	2	+8	+9.4	20
10	Molde	13	6	1	6	+4	+9.5	19
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-4.9	18
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	4	5	-1	+3.4	16
14	Kristiansund	13	4	4	5	-4	-6.3	16
15	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-14	-7.8	10
16	Haugesund	13	1	2	10	-24	-12.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+18	+14.7	27
2	Viking	13	8	3	2	+11	+8.1	27
3	Tromso	13	7	2	4	+2	+1.0	23
4	Brann	13	7	2	4	+2	+6.8	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-9	-5.1	15
7	Kristiansund	13	4	3	6	-15	-12.1	15
8	KFUM Oslo	13	3	5	5	-1	+3.0	14
9	Fredrikstad	13	3	5	5	-2	-4.6	14
10	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-5	-7.6	13
11	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
12	Molde	13	3	2	8	-7	-7.5	11
13	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
14	Sandefjord	12	3	1	8	-8	-7.1	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.