Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mjallby
Hacken
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby
|
29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | +38 | +9.0 | 72 |
| 2 |
Hammarby
|
29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | +28 | +18.1 | 59 |
| 3 |
GAIS
|
29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +16 | +15.4 | 52 |
| 4 |
AIK
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | +9 | +7.0 | 48 |
| 5 |
Goteborg
|
29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | +2.1 | 48 |
| 6 |
Djurgarden
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +18 | +10.3 | 46 |
| 7 |
Malmo FF
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +12 | +14.1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Elfsborg
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -3 | -1.8 | 40 |
| 9 |
Sirius
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | +0 | +2.5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Hacken
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -7 | +4.5 | 35 |
| 11 |
Halmstad
|
29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -28 | -13.5 | 32 |
| 12 |
Brommapojkarna
|
29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | -5 | -3.2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Norrkoping
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -15 | -14.0 | 29 |
| 14 |
Degerfors
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -21 | -6.8 | 27 |
| 15 |
Oster
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -17 | -16.8 | 26 |
| 16 |
Varnamo
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -31 | -26.8 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Tornqvist
G
A. Iqbal
D
A. Noren
D
T. Pettersson
D
V. Gustafson
M
J. Gustavsson
M
E. Stroud
M
J. Kjaer
F
J. Bergstrom
F
A. Manneh
F
Coach: Anders Torstensson
E. Berisha
G
B. Wembangomo
D
H. Hilvenius
D
M. Lode
D
A. Lundkvist
D
S. Leach
M
S. Andersen
M
S. Nioule
M
P. Dahbo
M
S. Ngabo
M
A. Layouni
F
Coach: Jens Otto Andreas Gustafsson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Varnamo
Mjallby
Mjallby
Norrkoping
Goteborg
Mjallby
Mjallby
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
Mjallby
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.