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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Hearts

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Dundee United

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 56%

82%

30%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

73%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

45%

60%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,68 xG 0,46

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Dundee United 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	11	9	2	0	+19	+3.2	29
2	Celtic	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
3	Hibernian	12	4	6	2	+7	+0.8	18
4	Falkirk	12	4	4	4	-5	+1.1	16
5	Rangers	10	3	6	1	+2	-1.8	15
6	Motherwell	10	3	5	2	+3	+1.8	14
7	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	+1	-1.0	13
8	Aberdeen	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.6	10
9	Kilmarnock	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.3	10
10	St Mirren	11	2	4	5	-7	-2.2	10
11	Dundee	11	2	3	6	-10	-4.5	9
12	Livingston	12	1	5	6	-9	+1.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	6	5	1	0	+12	+2.4	16
2	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+9	+1.8	13
3	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
4	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
5	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
6	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
7	Hibernian	5	1	3	1	+3	+1.2	6
8	Rangers	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.2	6
9	St Mirren	6	1	3	2	-3	-0.5	6
10	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.2	5
11	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	+0	-0.7	4
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Hibernian	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
3	Rangers	5	2	3	0	+2	-2.9	9
4	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
5	Dundee United	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.1	6
6	Motherwell	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
7	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
8	Falkirk	5	2	0	3	-7	-0.8	6
9	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	7	0	4	3	-8	-0.7	4
12	Dundee	6	0	2	4	-10	-3.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.