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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Valerenga

S T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Tromso

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

61%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 1,74

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Tromso 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	23	15	5	3	+23	+20.6	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+39	+35.0	49
3	Brann	22	14	4	4	+12	+19.4	46
4	Tromso	23	14	3	6	+10	+5.4	45
5	Rosenborg	22	9	7	6	+1	+2.9	34
6	KFUM Oslo	23	8	8	7	+8	+7.5	32
7	Sandefjord	22	10	1	11	+5	-6.0	31
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	7	8	+2	-3.4	31
9	Valerenga	23	9	4	10	-2	-7.4	31
10	Molde	23	9	3	11	+3	+2.4	30
11	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	8	8	+1	+11.4	29
12	Kristiansund	23	7	6	10	-18	-16.3	27
13	Bryne	23	6	6	11	-10	-3.6	24
14	Ham-Kam	23	6	6	11	-10	-10.9	24
15	Stromsgodset	23	6	1	16	-19	-22.1	19
16	Haugesund	23	1	3	19	-45	-34.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+14	+13.7	26
2	Brann	11	8	2	1	+8	+12.0	26
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
4	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+8	+6.7	25
5	Sandefjord	11	8	0	3	+15	+0.7	24
6	Fredrikstad	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
7	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
8	KFUM Oslo	12	5	4	3	+8	+4.8	19
9	Molde	12	6	1	5	+6	+9.2	19
10	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	+0.2	18
11	Bryne	12	5	3	4	-1	+4.2	18
12	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-3	-4.5	15
13	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	4	4	+1	+3.1	13
14	Kristiansund	11	3	4	4	-3	-6.0	13
15	Stromsgodset	11	3	0	8	-11	-8.2	9
16	Haugesund	12	1	2	9	-23	-10.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	12	7	3	2	+9	+6.9	24
3	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+7.4	20
4	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	+0	+8.4	16
6	Rosenborg	12	4	2	6	-9	-5.4	14
7	Kristiansund	12	4	2	6	-15	-10.2	14
8	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	+0	+2.7	13
9	Valerenga	12	4	1	7	-8	-7.7	13
10	Molde	11	3	2	6	-3	-6.7	11
11	Fredrikstad	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.5	10
12	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
13	Ham-Kam	11	2	3	6	-7	-6.4	9
14	Sandefjord	11	2	1	8	-10	-6.8	7
15	Bryne	11	1	3	7	-9	-7.7	6
16	Haugesund	11	0	1	10	-22	-24.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.