Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dundee
Rangers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hearts
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +19 | +3.2 | 29 |
| 2 |
Celtic
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | +2.5 | 20 |
| 3 |
Hibernian
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +7 | +0.8 | 18 |
| 4 |
Falkirk
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -5 | +1.1 | 16 |
| 5 |
Rangers
|
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +2 | -1.8 | 15 |
| 6 |
Motherwell
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +3 | +1.8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Dundee United
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | -1.0 | 13 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | -0.6 | 10 |
| 9 |
Kilmarnock
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | -1.3 | 10 |
| 10 |
St Mirren
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | -2.2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Dundee
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -10 | -4.5 | 9 |
| 12 |
Livingston
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -9 | +1.9 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Astley
D
L. Graham
D
B. Koumetio
D
D. Wright
M
E. Hamilton
M
I. Samuels
M
C. Congreve
F
T. Yogane
F
Coach: Steven Pressley
D. Cornelius
D
J. Meghoma
D
N. Raskin
M
M. Diomande
M
M. Moore
M
D. Gassama
M
B. Miovski
F
Coach: Russell Martin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hearts
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
Dundee
Celtic
Aberdeen
Dundee
St Mirren
Dundee
M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.