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Ligue 1
Referee: Abdelatif Kherradji
Angers
T U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Auxerre
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
18%
45%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,6
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 0,70
49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 15. · Auxerre 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 12 8 1 3 +17 +10.4 25
2 Lens 12 8 1 3 +10 +3.1 25
3 Paris SG 11 7 3 1 +12 +8.7 24
4 Lille 11 6 2 3 +10 +7.8 20
5 Lyon 11 6 2 3 +4 +7.0 20
6 Monaco 12 6 2 4 +3 +7.3 20
7 Strasbourg 11 6 1 4 +6 +7.8 19
8 Rennes 12 4 6 2 +2 -2.6 18
9 Nice 11 5 2 4 +0 -7.6 17
10 Toulouse 12 4 4 4 +2 +0.4 16
11 Paris FC 12 4 2 6 -3 -1.3 14
12 Le Havre 12 3 5 4 -4 +0.5 14
13 Brest 12 2 4 6 -7 -1.6 10
14 Nantes 12 2 4 6 -7 -11.5 10
15 Angers 11 2 4 5 -7 -10.5 10
16 Lorient 12 2 4 6 -12 -2.3 10
17 Metz 11 2 2 7 -16 -9.6 8
18 Auxerre 11 2 1 8 -10 -6.1 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Auxerre
7′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Casimir
↦ I. Osman
Sidiki Cherif 🟨
61′
L. Raolisoa 🔁
↦ Y. Belkhdim
64′
Amine Sbai 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Francisco Sierralta
0–1 C. Akpa
own goal
71′
72′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ R. Matondo
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Ekomie
75′
M. Courcoul 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
75′
77′
🔁 G. Mensah
↦ L. Sinayoko
H. Djibirin 🔁
↦ S. Cherif
82′
P. Peter 🔁
↦ A. Sbai
82′
83′
🔁 L. Sy
↦ M. Senaya
83′
🔁 A. Diousse
↦ E. Owusu
1–1 P. Peter
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
93 H. Belkebla M
10 H. Abdelli M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
6 L. Mouton M
7 A. Sbai M
11 S. Cherif F
Bench (9)
40 O. Pona
26 F. Hanin
25 A. Bamba
20 M. Louer
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
31 H. Djibirin
35 P. Peter
27 L. Raolisoa

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Auxerre

4-3-3
16 D. Leon G
29 M. Senaya D
4 F. Sierralta D
92 C. Akpa D
22 F. Oppegard D
34 R. Matondo M
42 E. Owusu M
5 K. Danois M
23 I. Osman F
10 L. Sinayoko F
19 D. Namaso F
Bench (9)
37 L. Mezerette
40 T. De Percin
14 G. Mensah
27 L. Sy
35 E. Legros
18 A. Diousse
41 Y. Zaddy
7 J. Casimir
9 S. Mara

Coach: Christophe Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,15
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.