Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Angers
Auxerre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Marseille
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +17 | +10.4 | 25 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +10 | +3.1 | 25 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +12 | +8.7 | 24 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | +7.8 | 20 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | +7.0 | 20 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | +7.3 | 20 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | +7.8 | 19 |
| 8 |
Rennes
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +2 | -2.6 | 18 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +0 | -7.6 | 17 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | +0.4 | 16 |
| 11 |
Paris FC
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -1.3 | 14 |
| 12 |
Le Havre
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | +0.5 | 14 |
| 13 |
Brest
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | -11.5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | -10.5 | 10 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 | -2.3 | 10 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16 | -9.6 | 8 |
| 18 |
Auxerre
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -10 | -6.1 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Koffi
G
C. Arcus
D
O. Camara
D
J. Lefort
D
J. Ekomie
D
H. Belkebla
M
H. Abdelli
M
Y. Belkhdim
M
L. Mouton
M
A. Sbai
M
S. Cherif
F
Coach: Alexandre Dujeux
C. Akpa
D
F. Oppegard
D
R. Matondo
M
E. Owusu
M
K. Danois
M
I. Osman
F
L. Sinayoko
F
D. Namaso
F
Coach: Christophe Pélissier
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
Angers
Marseille
Angers
Angers
Lorient
Angers
Monaco
Strasbourg
Angers
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.