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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Fredericia

T T T U T

0–3

Full-time

Viborg

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

21%

36%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,24 xG 1,56

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 12

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredericia 11. · Viborg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	14	9	4	1	+14	+11.7	31
2	Midtjylland	14	8	5	1	+20	+2.3	29
3	Brondby	14	9	1	4	+12	+9.9	28
4	FC Copenhagen	14	7	4	3	+9	+12.2	25
5	Sonderjyske	14	5	4	5	+1	-0.6	19
6	Odense	15	5	4	6	-10	+3.9	19
7	Nordsjaelland	14	6	0	8	-5	-3.0	18
8	Silkeborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-9.0	18
9	Randers FC	14	5	2	7	-4	+0.2	17
10	Viborg	14	5	1	8	-4	-4.7	16
11	Fredericia	14	3	2	9	-14	-12.5	11
12	Vejle	14	1	4	9	-12	-10.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	+13	+5.1	18
2	Aarhus	7	5	1	1	+7	+12.1	16
3	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.3	13
4	Sonderjyske	7	4	1	2	+5	+0.8	13
5	Odense	8	3	2	3	-4	+4.3	11
6	FC Copenhagen	7	2	4	1	+2	+7.9	10
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.5	10
8	Randers FC	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.9	10
9	Viborg	7	3	0	4	-1	-3.4	9
10	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-3	+1.2	9
11	Fredericia	7	2	1	4	-7	-5.1	7
12	Vejle	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	7	4	3	0	+7	-0.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	7	5	0	2	+7	+4.3	15
3	Brondby	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.6	15
4	Midtjylland	6	3	2	1	+7	-2.8	11
5	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.3	9
6	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	-0.4	8
7	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
8	Randers FC	8	2	1	5	-3	+2.1	7
9	Viborg	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.2	7
10	Sonderjyske	7	1	3	3	-4	-1.4	6
11	Fredericia	7	1	1	5	-7	-7.4	4
12	Vejle	7	0	2	5	-9	-7.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.