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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes
Ham-Kam
T T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Valerenga
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,46
39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 13. · Valerenga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 25 17 5 3 +28 +22.9 56
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 17 4 3 +44 +38.7 55
3 Brann 24 15 4 5 +12 +19.4 49
4 Tromso 25 14 3 8 +7 +4.2 45
5 Rosenborg 24 9 8 7 +0 +4.7 35
6 Sandefjord 23 11 1 11 +6 -5.2 34
7 Valerenga 24 10 4 10 -1 -7.5 34
8 KFUM Oslo 24 8 9 7 +8 +7.8 33
9 Fredrikstad 24 8 8 8 +2 -2.2 32
10 Sarpsborg 08 25 8 8 9 -1 +10.2 32
11 Molde 24 9 3 12 +2 +2.6 30
12 Kristiansund 24 8 6 10 -17 -16.4 30
13 Ham-Kam 24 6 7 11 -10 -12.1 25
14 Bryne 25 6 7 12 -11 -4.6 25
15 Stromsgodset 24 6 2 16 -19 -22.4 20
16 Haugesund 25 1 3 21 -50 -40.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Valerenga
Snorre Strand Nilsen 🟨
8′
1–0 K. Lien
J. Gonstad
22′
35′
ℹ️ Henrik Bjørdal
VAR: Penalty cancelled
William Osnes-Ringen 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Anton Ekeroth 🟨
52′
59′
M. Grundetjern 1–1
F. Thorvaldsen
A. Potur 🔁
↦ W. Osnes-Ringen
60′
64′
🔁 E. Hagen
↦ S. Sjovold
69′
🔁 P. Strand
↦ H. Bjordal
2–1 Y. Ibrahimaj
G. Granath
77′
82′
🟨 Ambina Fidèle Brice
G. Simenstad 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
87′
89′
🔁 P. Meliga
↦ I. Nasberg
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
22 S. Nilsen D
2 G. Granath D
23 F. Sjolstad D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
24 Y. Ibrahimaj M
14 L. Mares M
15 W. Osnes-Ringen M
19 K. Lien
20 J. Gonstad F
Bench (9)
7 V. Jonsson
8 M. Johnsgard
10 M. Mawa
11 T. Soras
17 A. Potur
18 G. Simenstad
21 E. Gojani
30 A. Nilsson
34 M. Larsen

Coach: Thomas Harald Myhre

Valerenga

4-4-2
16 O. Hedvall G
6 V. Hedenstad D
4 A. Olsen
37 I. Nasberg D
27 Vinicius Nogueira D
22 S. Sjovold
29 F. Ambina M
26 F. Thorvaldsen
11 E. Sorensen M
8 H. Bjordal F
17 M. Grundetjern
Bench (9)
1 J. Storevik
3 H. Sjatil
14 O. Obasi
15 E. Hagen
19 P. Meliga
20 L. Apold-Aasen
23 N. Pallas
24 P. Strand
55 S. Jarl

Coach: Geir Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Tore Sinnes · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.