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Allsvenskan
Oster
T S T T U
1–3
Full-time
Djurgarden
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
21%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
34%
34%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,74 xG 1,22
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oster 15. · Djurgarden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 29 22 6 1 +38 +9.0 72
2 Hammarby 29 18 5 6 +28 +18.1 59
3 GAIS 29 14 10 5 +16 +15.4 52
4 AIK 29 13 9 7 +9 +7.0 48
5 Goteborg 29 15 3 11 +6 +2.1 48
6 Djurgarden 29 12 10 7 +18 +10.3 46
7 Malmo FF 29 12 10 7 +12 +14.1 46
8 Elfsborg 29 12 4 13 -3 -1.8 40
9 Sirius 29 10 6 13 +0 +2.5 36
10 Hacken 29 9 8 12 -7 +4.5 35
11 Halmstad 29 9 5 15 -28 -13.5 32
12 Brommapojkarna 29 9 4 16 -5 -3.2 31
13 Norrkoping 29 8 5 16 -15 -14.0 29
14 Degerfors 29 7 6 16 -21 -6.8 27
15 Oster 29 6 8 15 -17 -16.8 26
16 Varnamo 29 3 7 19 -31 -26.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -25 Djurgarden – Oster 1–0

Match report

Oster Djurgarden
Sebastian Hedlund 🟨
38′
1–0 A. Aliev
D. Olsson
45′
Half-time 1–1
48′
A. Stahl 1–1
M. Tamminen 🔁
↦ A. Suhonen
62′
62′
🔁 D. Stensson
↦ A. Ekdal
62′
🔁 J. Okkels
↦ O. Fallenius
Tatu Varmanen 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 B. Hegland
↦ T. Nguen
72′
🔁 N. Zugelj
↦ R. Schuller
N. Soderberg 🔁
↦ D. Ask
73′
R. Adjei 🔁
↦ T. Varmanen
73′
78′
🔁 T. Bergvall
↦ A. Stahl
79′
P. Aslund 1–2
L. Bergquist 🔁
↦ D. Olsson
82′
V. Rodic 🔁
↦ O. Uddenas
82′
85′
🟨 Nino Žugelj
85′
🟨 Miro Tenho
90′
A. Priske 1–3
B. Hegland
Vladimir Rodić 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oster

4-2-3-1
13 R. Wallinder G
33 T. Varmanen D
4 S. Starke
15 I. Kricak D
14 D. Olsson D
26 M. Christensen M
8 D. Ask M
10 O. Uddenas M
7 A. Suhonen M
18 D. Ljung M
20 A. Aliev
Bench (9)
32 C. Lundahl
3 K. Gyamfi
6 N. Soderberg
9 N. Soderberg
16 R. Adjei
19 M. Tamminen
21 L. Bergquist
23 V. Rodic
29 C. Kouakou

Coach: Carl Roberth Björknesjö

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne G
18 A. Stahl D
5 M. Tenho D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
6 R. Schuller M
8 A. Ekdal M
15 O. Fallenius M
22 P. Aslund M
10 T. Nguen M
9 A. Priske F
Bench (9)
50 B. Eide
4 J. Une-Larsson
11 Z. Sawo
12 T. Bergvall
13 D. Stensson
16 B. Hegland
19 J. Okkels
23 N. Zugelj
31 A. Saeed

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.