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Allsvenskan
Goteborg
S T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Norrkoping
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
52%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
41%
66%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,29 xG 1,20
72% Possession 28%
15 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 5. · Norrkoping 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 29 22 6 1 +38 +9.0 72
2 Hammarby 29 18 5 6 +28 +18.1 59
3 GAIS 29 14 10 5 +16 +15.4 52
4 AIK 29 13 9 7 +9 +7.0 48
5 Goteborg 29 15 3 11 +6 +2.1 48
6 Djurgarden 29 12 10 7 +18 +10.3 46
7 Malmo FF 29 12 10 7 +12 +14.1 46
8 Elfsborg 29 12 4 13 -3 -1.8 40
9 Sirius 29 10 6 13 +0 +2.5 36
10 Hacken 29 9 8 12 -7 +4.5 35
11 Halmstad 29 9 5 15 -28 -13.5 32
12 Brommapojkarna 29 9 4 16 -5 -3.2 31
13 Norrkoping 29 8 5 16 -15 -14.0 29
14 Degerfors 29 7 6 16 -21 -6.8 27
15 Oster 29 6 8 15 -17 -16.8 26
16 Varnamo 29 3 7 19 -31 -26.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Norrkoping
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Moutaz Neffati
1–0 S. Alioum
B. Brantlind
62′
I. Jagne 🔁
↦ S. Alioum
64′
Thomas Santos 🟨
67′
F. Eriksson 🔁
↦ B. Brantlind
72′
73′
🔁 I. Lushaku
↦ A. Traustason
86′
🔁 J. Arnarsson
↦ M. Baggesen
2–0 I. Jagne
90′
Felix Eriksson 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 A. Andersson
↦ A. Sogaard
J. Bager 🔁
↦ G. Svensson
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-1-4-1
25 E. Bishesari G
29 T. Santos D
13 G. Svensson D
3 A. Erlingmark D
22 N. Tolf D
15 D. Kruse M
11 S. Alioum M
23 K. Thordarson
26 B. Brantlind M
14 T. Heintz M
9 M. Fenger F
Bench (8)
1 P. Dahlberg
5 J. Bager
8 I. Jagne
16 L. Carlstrand
18 F. Eriksson
27 A. Boren
32 R. Nafors Dahlin
33 V. Tyren

Coach: Stefan Bo Anders Billborn

Norrkoping

5-4-1
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
4 A. Sogaard D
19 M. Watson D
24 A. Eriksson D
3 M. Baggesen D
22 T. Prica M
9 A. Traustason M
25 K. Jansson M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
11 I. Lushaku
14 Y. Kalley
17 A. Tamba
18 J. Arnarsson
20 A. Bronner
28 A. Andersson
31 J. Lindvall
32 W. Bergman

Coach: Martin Falk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.