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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Rosenborg
U S T T U
2–3
Full-time
Brann
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,89 xG 1,31
42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 8. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 26 18 5 3 +32 +24.3 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 24 17 4 3 +44 +38.7 55
3 Brann 24 15 4 5 +12 +19.4 49
4 Tromso 25 14 3 8 +7 +4.2 45
5 Sandefjord 24 12 1 11 +8 -5.6 37
6 Fredrikstad 25 9 8 8 +5 -2.9 35
7 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 8 9 +0 +10.2 35
8 Rosenborg 24 9 8 7 +0 +4.7 35
9 KFUM Oslo 26 8 10 8 +7 +9.6 34
10 Valerenga 25 10 4 11 -2 -7.0 34
11 Kristiansund 25 8 7 10 -17 -18.3 31
12 Molde 25 9 3 13 +0 +3.0 30
13 Ham-Kam 25 7 7 11 -9 -12.6 28
14 Bryne 26 6 7 13 -15 -6.0 25
15 Stromsgodset 25 6 2 17 -22 -21.7 20
16 Haugesund 25 1 3 21 -50 -40.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Brann
Ulrik Jenssen 🟨
15′
20′
E. Kornvig 0–1
J. Soltvedt
J. Reitan-Sunde 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
25′
33′
🔁 N. Boakye
↦ F. Knudsen
39′
🟨 Thore Baardsen Pedersen
42′
M. Haaland 0–2
J. Soltvedt
1–2 D. Islamovic
E. K. Ceide
45′
Half-time 1–2
O. Saeter 🔁
↦ U. Jenssen
46′
46′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ U. Mathisen
52′
🟨 Eivind Helland
2–2 A. Pereira
52′
63′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ M. Haaland
64′
🔁 D. De Roeve
↦ T. Pedersen
70′
🟨 Japhet Sery Larsen
E. Reitan 🔁
↦ J. Mortensen
71′
H. Volden 🔁
↦ M. K. Ceide
71′
78′
E. Kornvig 2–3
B. Finne
89′
🔁 V. Dragsnes
↦ N. Holm
90′
🟨 Matias Dyngeland
Adrian Nilsen Pereira 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-5-1
1 S. Tangvik G
15 J. Mortensen D
38 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
23 U. Jenssen D
19 A. Pereira M
7 S. Nordli M
10 O. Selnaes M
29 D. Duris M
35 E. K. Ceide M
39 D. Islamovic F
Bench (9)
2 E. Reitan
9 O. Saeter
12 R. Sandberg
33 T. Dahl
43 A. Borgersen
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
50 H. Volden
56 I. Holmen
60 E. Slordal

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Brann

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
26 E. Fauske Helland M
14 U. Mathisen M
10 E. Kornvig M
19 E. Gudmundsson M
32 M. Haaland M
29 N. Holm F
Bench (7)
4 N. Boakye
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
12 T. Bramel
20 V. Dragsnes
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.