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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Rosenborg
S U U U T
1–3
Full-time
Valerenga
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
1,4
3,5
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
6 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 9. · Valerenga 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 4 1 0 +11 13
2 Brann 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Lillestrom 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Tromso 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Viking 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Stabaek 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Odd 5 1 3 1 +0 6
8 Ham-Kam 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Rosenborg 5 1 3 1 -1 6
10 Sandefjord 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Sarpsborg 08 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Molde 5 1 1 3 +0 4
13 Haugesund 4 1 1 2 -5 4
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Valerenga 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Aalesund 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Valerenga
18′
🔁 M. Riisnæs
↦ L. Zuta
41′
🔁 F. Oldrup Jensen
↦ V. Hedenstad
44′
M. Ofkir 0–1
H. Bjørdal
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Bjørlo
48′
Morten Bjorlo 🟨
49′
50′
S. Jatta 1–2
F. Oldrup Jensen
L. Cornic 🔁
↦ U. Yttergård Jenssen
62′
E. Tagseth 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
62′
S. Väänänen 🔁
↦ P. Skjelbred
62′
J. Nelson 🔁
↦ A. Sadiku
62′
71′
H. Bjørdal 1–3
78′
🟨 Fredrik Jensen
O. Aga 🔁
↦ M. Bjørlo
78′
83′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ D. Håkans
83′
🔁 A. Kiil Olsen
↦ S. Jatta
85′
🟨 Mohamed Ofkir
ÍIsak Snær Þorvaldsson 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
8 T. Børkeeiet D
15 S. Rogers D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
2 E. Reitan M
5 P. Skjelbred M
7 M. Henriksen M
18 M. Bjørlo M
19 A. Pereira M
22 A. Sadiku F
17 Í. Þorvaldsson F
Bench (9)
32 L. Cornic
20 E. Tagseth
6 S. Väänänen
11 J. Nelson
29 O. Aga
80 K. Ingason
39 M. Broholm
24 S. Tangvik
41 S. Nypan

Coach: K. Rekdal

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
6 V. Hedenstad D
23 H. Heggheim D
4 S. Strandberg D
5 L. Zuta D
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
8 H. Bjørdal M
11 D. Håkans F
19 S. Jatta F
10 M. Ofkir F
Bench (7)
20 M. Riisnæs
7 F. Oldrup Jensen
9 T. Børven
14 A. Kiil Olsen
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
17 J. Eng
1 J. Storevik

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.