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Allsvenskan
1–3
Full-time
Degerfors
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,63 xG 3,15
57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 12. · Degerfors 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 29 22 6 1 +38 +9.0 72
2 Hammarby 29 18 5 6 +28 +18.1 59
3 GAIS 29 14 10 5 +16 +15.4 52
4 AIK 29 13 9 7 +9 +7.0 48
5 Goteborg 29 15 3 11 +6 +2.1 48
6 Djurgarden 29 12 10 7 +18 +10.3 46
7 Malmo FF 29 12 10 7 +12 +14.1 46
8 Elfsborg 29 12 4 13 -3 -1.8 40
9 Sirius 29 10 6 13 +0 +2.5 36
10 Hacken 29 9 8 12 -7 +4.5 35
11 Halmstad 29 9 5 15 -28 -13.5 32
12 Brommapojkarna 29 9 4 16 -5 -3.2 31
13 Norrkoping 29 8 5 16 -15 -14.0 29
14 Degerfors 29 7 6 16 -21 -6.8 27
15 Oster 29 6 8 15 -17 -16.8 26
16 Varnamo 29 3 7 19 -31 -26.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Degerfors
30′
D. Vukojevic 0–1
39′
🟨 Elias Barsoum
Half-time 0–1
Victor Lind 🟨
50′
Kevin Ackermann 🟨
54′
C. Nilden 🔁
↦ S. Oppong
58′
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ L. Bjorklund
58′
61′
🔁 M. Rafferty
↦ E. Barsoum
Daleho Irandust 🟨
69′
D. E. Hedstrom J. 🔁
↦ D. Irandust
72′
L. Arrhov 🔁
↦ K. Ackermann
72′
74′
🟨 Leon Hien
75′
M. Rafferty 0–2
D. Vukojevic
1–2 A. Timossi
78′
81′
🔁 S. Ohlsson
↦ S. Haarala
86′
N. Girmai 1–3
A. Taranis
K. Sever 🔁
↦ V. Lind
88′
Alex Timossi Andersson 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-4-2
1 J. Lacayo G
21 A. Timossi D
28 I. Ssewankambo D
3 E. Hovland D
6 O. Zanden D
19 D. Irandust M
24 K. Ackermann M
27 K. Barslund M
33 S. Oppong M
7 V. Lind F
30 L. Bjorklund F
Bench (9)
41 C. Isaksson
2 H. Karlsson
8 A. Stroud
12 C. Nilden
14 K. Sever
18 D. E. Hedstrom J.
20 I. Camara
31 L. Arrhov
39 N. Bahoui

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Degerfors

4-4-2
26 M. Igonen G
6 D. Sundgren D
4 L. Hien D
5 J. Pikkarainen
39 P. Ndinga D
29 S. Haarala M
21 K. Karlsson M
8 N. Girmai M
20 E. Barsoum M
17 A. Taranis F
22 D. Vukojevic F
Bench (9)
1 W. Jakobsson
2 M. Diaby
10 M. Rafferty
11 C. Gravius
15 N. Moro
16 S. Ohlsson
19 R. Omorowa
28 M. Godinho
30 B. Morgado

Coach: Henok Goitom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.