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Premier League
Referee: T Robinson
0–0
Full-time
Brighton
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,75 xG 0,39
42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 9. · Brighton 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 +15 +13.2 26
2 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 +10 +6.9 20
3 Man City 10 6 1 3 +12 +8.2 19
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 +4 -2.9 19
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 +9 -4.2 18
6 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 +4 +4.9 18
7 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 +3 -1.6 18
8 Man United 11 5 3 3 +1 +1.7 18
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 +5 +6.2 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 +2 +4.0 15
11 Everton 11 4 3 4 -1 -0.8 15
12 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 -1 -5.2 15
13 Brentford 10 4 1 5 -2 +1.2 13
14 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 -1 +3.7 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 -4 -3.8 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 -8 +0.1 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 -8 -15.7 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 -10 -4.3 10
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 -12 -4.8 6
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 -18 -6.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Brighton
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Carlos Baleba
63′
ℹ️ Georginio Rutter
VAR: Penalty cancelled
65′
🟨 Georginio Rutter
Y. Pino 🔁
↦ A. Wharton
66′
75′
🔁 J. Veltman
↦ C. Baleba
75′
🔁 C. Kostoulas
↦ G. Rutter
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
83′
85′
🔁 M. De Cuyper
↦ D. Gomez
85′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ D. Welbeck
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke
95′
🟨 Joël Veltman
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
8 J. Lerma M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
18 D. Kamada F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
21 R. Esse
12 C. Uche
10 Y. Pino
55 J. Devenny

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Brighton

4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen G
27 M. Wieffer D
6 J. P. van Hecke D
5 L. Dunk D
24 F. Kadioglu D
17 C. Baleba M
26 Y. Ayari M
11 Y. Minteh M
10 G. Rutter M
25 D. Gomez M
18 D. Welbeck F
Bench (9)
23 J. Steele
34 J. Veltman
21 O. Boscagli
42 D. Coppola
19 C. Kostoulas
29 M. De Cuyper
9 S. Tzimas
49 J. Knight
58 N. Oriola

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,52
B
3,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.