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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Molde

U S T T T

4–2

Full-time

Rosenborg

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

4,07 xG 1,49

45% Possession 55%

22 Shots 10

14 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 13. · Rosenborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	27	19	4	4	+46	+41.0	61
2	Viking	26	18	5	3	+32	+24.3	59
3	Brann	26	16	4	6	+12	+21.0	52
4	Tromso	26	15	3	8	+8	+6.5	48
5	Valerenga	27	12	4	11	+1	-7.5	40
6	Sandefjord	26	12	3	11	+8	-5.2	39
7	Fredrikstad	26	9	9	8	+5	-3.3	36
8	Rosenborg	26	9	9	8	-1	+4.3	36
9	Sarpsborg 08	26	9	8	9	+0	+10.2	35
10	KFUM Oslo	26	8	10	8	+7	+9.6	34
11	Ham-Kam	26	8	7	11	-7	-12.5	31
12	Kristiansund	26	8	7	11	-19	-18.4	31
13	Molde	26	9	3	14	-3	+2.0	30
14	Bryne	26	6	7	13	-15	-6.0	25
15	Stromsgodset	26	6	2	18	-23	-23.7	20
16	Haugesund	26	1	3	22	-51	-42.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	10	2	1	+21	+16.2	32
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	1	2	+29	+24.9	31
3	Brann	13	9	2	2	+10	+14.2	29
4	Sandefjord	13	9	1	3	+16	+1.9	28
5	Valerenga	14	8	3	3	+10	-0.3	27
6	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
7	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
8	Rosenborg	13	5	6	2	+8	+9.4	21
9	KFUM Oslo	13	5	5	3	+8	+6.7	20
10	Molde	13	6	1	6	+4	+9.5	19
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-4.9	18
13	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	4	5	-1	+3.4	16
14	Kristiansund	13	4	4	5	-4	-6.3	16
15	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-14	-7.8	10
16	Haugesund	13	1	2	10	-24	-12.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	3	2	+17	+16.1	30
2	Viking	13	8	3	2	+11	+8.1	27
3	Tromso	13	7	2	4	+2	+1.0	23
4	Brann	13	7	2	4	+2	+6.8	23
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-9	-5.1	15
7	Kristiansund	13	4	3	6	-15	-12.1	15
8	KFUM Oslo	13	3	5	5	-1	+3.0	14
9	Fredrikstad	13	3	5	5	-2	-4.6	14
10	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-5	-7.6	13
11	Valerenga	13	4	1	8	-9	-7.2	13
12	Molde	13	3	2	8	-7	-7.5	11
13	Sandefjord	13	3	2	8	-8	-7.1	11
14	Stromsgodset	13	3	1	9	-9	-15.9	10
15	Bryne	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.0	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.